The COVID-19 crisis caused global disruption. But technology merger and acquisition (M&A) deal volumes showed little signs of slowing down in 2020. In the final two quarters of the year, the UK alone saw 276 deals announced. And globally, deal values rose consistently over the same period.1,2
However, new legislation is expected to give the UK Government fresh powers. It would allow them to intervene in tech M&A deals issues such as:
So the use of specialist insurance products to protect value is on the rise.3
A recent Marsh webcast brought together tech M&A specialists from international law firm RPC and Marsh JLT Specialty to explore these trends in detail. It discusses the growing role of insurance in maximising shareholder value and minimising risk for buyers.
The government is expected to bring a draft bill before the current parliament. This bill will set out proposed legislation that would give the Government much wider and stronger powers to intervene in M&A transactions on national security grounds. This move is driven in part by concerns that Chinese companies with close links to the Chinese state may seek to acquire important technology.
Any new legislation will replace existing controls set out in the Enterprise Act 2002. It is expected to drive big changes in the way in which tech M&A transactions are done. One of the real difficulties is defining what exactly national security means. This is because most private citizens are not privy to the inner workings of MI5 and MI6. It cannot simply be assumed that a deal will be cleared because an acquirer is not from China. Equally, we don’t know if the new legislation will also address broader public interest concerns, such as the loss of highly skilled jobs from the UK.
All this uncertainty is likely to have a chilling effect on transactions. This is likely to be compounded by the way any new rules are applied in practice. While pre-clearance of transactions is likely to be voluntary, the government will have the ability to call in a transaction after the event. This could potentially result in penalties, sanctions, and even the unwinding of the transaction.
As a result, it seems likely that a lot of deals will seek voluntary preclearance. This raises questions about how this is going to be administered and resourced. The government white paper suggests there might be 200 pre-clearance applications per year. Yet, with 276 deals announced in the second half of 2020 alone, this is likely to be a significant underestimate. This again raises the prospect that tech M&A will slow down as deals get stuck in the system.
In addition to these macro issues, many trends have been affecting tech M&A deals with increasing regularity over the last 12-24 months. Understanding these issues is vital when it comes to identifying acquisition targets and protecting against value destruction for sellers.
In tech M&A, IP rights and ownership of the code that underpins software go to the heart of value. There are three issues here that frequently crop up:
Any issues that might limit ownership or access to code are increasingly targets for due diligence.
Many tech companies are funded by capital investment and use equity to attract talented employees. Both of which can create complexity in shareholder bodies. In the tech sector, it is common to see layer upon layer of share classes and large shareholder pools create messy or ‘broken’ cap tables. This can be destructive when it comes to deal value.
The due diligence stage in tech M&A is hugely important. There is a much greater weight placed on technical due diligence because the value in these transactions is often driven by the underlying tech.
So, issues around IP and ownership of code all feature prominently but so does ‘the new oil’ – data. Particularly with the strengthening of data privacy regulation, for instance through GDPR. There are plenty of examples of data governance issues emerging in due diligence and having a material impact on deal value. For example, when Verizon bought Yahoo! in 2017, the disclosure of two data breaches at Yahoo! resulted in a 7% price chip – worth $300 million.
All this creates a quite a complex environment for risk allocation. Negotiations on which party in the deal should carry any risks identified in due diligence involve using warranties to transfer general risks and indemnities to address specific risks identified during due diligence. Additionally, ancillary documents are used to plug gaps around issues like IP assignment.
This complexity has driven huge growth in the use of warranty and indemnity insurance in tech M&A. It moves risk allocation negotiations away from often quite difficult, binary discussions about whether the buyer or seller should carry transaction risks.
In fact, the M&A insurance market has existed for about 20 years. However, it is in the last eight years or so that it has been used with increasing regularity to help navigate transaction risks. The tech M&A sector is the single largest user of these products. This is because they can answer often difficult questions about risk allocation. They can also streamline negotiation around the ownership of unknown risks – related to issues like:
In essence, these products offer a replacement route of recourse for breach of warranty or a call under a tax deed and give both buyer and seller the best of both worlds. The seller will still offer a set of warranties and undergo a typical disclosure process but will cap its liabilities at £1. So on completion, they can simply walk away. The buyer on the other hand, retains a route of recourse since residual liability for breach of warranty has effectively been transferred to an insurance market.
Insurance solutions are also increasingly being used to deal with known, contingent issues. For instance, a tax position that is a matter of interpretation and where there is a risk it will be challenged by tax authorities in the future. In these cases, tax insurance is used to ring-fence these contingent risks so that neither buyer nor seller has to take them on.
Similarly, IP insurance is commonly used to manage known IP risks in tech M&A. For instance, risks associated with future legal challenges to the target’s IP ownership, and to help fund litigation to enforce IP rights in the event of future infringement by a third party.
Understanding the risks in a target business is vital to protecting the value of an investment. It's also important to understand how they are managed, mitigated, and transferred. There are two particularly important workstreams for tech M&A here.
The first is cyber due diligence. This is specifically about allowing a buyer to understand the cyber risk that sits within the target business. It is a detailed process seeking to:
For the buyers (where cyber issues can directly affect value), it is vital to understand the extent to which the target understands these risks and manages them appropriately. Putting issues right after a transaction will likely involve significant capital expenditure.
Secondly, insurance due diligence is particularly important in the context of tech M&A. For reasons including the fundamental role of IP in deal value, and the risk that a target’s insurance arrangements may not have kept pace with rapid business growth. From the perspective of protecting value, an insurance due diligence process (with a particular focus on IP and how professional negligence exposures are covered) is an important assessment to make. Without that protection, the buyer can carry a fundamental risk of value destruction.
But insurance due diligence can also directly affect valuation. It provides an understanding of:
The impact of these risk trends in tech M&A is already being felt and can be clearly seen in a breakdown of recent transactional risk insurance claims. Claims associated with financial statements and tax issues remain far and away the most common. They account for 23% and 31% of claims respectively. But change is afoot.
In the tech M&A space the two fastest growing claims issues over the last 12 months have been around:
There can be little doubt that it is vitally important for technology business leaders and dealmakers to understand these trends in detail. Especially the macro trends around regulation and the emergence of IP as a common deal issue. With that in mind, the Marsh webcast, Technology Mergers and Acquisition Risks, is available to watch in full here.
Sources:
1. verdict.co.uk/uk-technology-industry-ma-deals-in-q3-2020
2. verdict.co.uk/technology-industry-ma-deals-in-q4-2020
3. marsh.com/uk/insights/research/technology-mergers-acquisition-risks-webcast